How to calculate the odds of something being true vs. it being false, given the evidence (Bayesian inference)

The name ‘Bayesian inference’ is intimidating, but in the end the method is very simple and only requires multiplications and divisions. If you want a more formal (and probably more accurate) explanation you can start from wikipedia: Bayesian inference. I tried to keep things as simple as I could (without losing rigour, I hope).​

We need at least two competing hypothesis ... Read even more